@import url("https://fonts.googleapis.com/css2?family=Archivo:wght@500;600;700&family=Archivo+Black&family=IBM+Plex+Mono:wght@400;500;600&display=swap");
:root{--ink:#090c12;--panel:#111722;--paper:#f2f1eb;--muted:#9aa4b4;--line:#303a49;--acid:#dfff00;--cyan:#54d9ff;--green:#13733c;--red:#b3261e}
*{box-sizing:border-box}html{scroll-behavior:smooth;background:var(--ink)}body{margin:0;background:var(--ink);color:var(--paper);font:16px/1.55 "Archivo",Arial,sans-serif}a{color:inherit;text-decoration:none}button,input,select{font:inherit}.skip-link{position:absolute;top:-100px;left:16px;background:var(--acid);color:var(--ink);padding:8px;z-index:20}.skip-link:focus{top:8px}
.site-header{display:grid;grid-template-columns:1fr auto 1fr;align-items:center;min-height:64px;padding:0 clamp(18px,3vw,46px);border-bottom:1px solid var(--line);font:500 11px "IBM Plex Mono",monospace;letter-spacing:.08em}.wordmark{justify-self:start;font:400 25px "Archivo Black",sans-serif;letter-spacing:-.08em}.header-label{color:var(--muted)}.header-back{justify-self:end;color:var(--acid)}.header-back:hover,.site-footer a:hover{text-decoration:underline}
main{max-width:1440px;margin:auto;padding:0 clamp(16px,3vw,44px) 70px}.report-hero{position:relative;overflow:hidden;padding:clamp(70px,9vw,130px) 0 clamp(50px,6vw,90px);border-bottom:1px solid var(--line)}.report-hero::before{content:"";position:absolute;inset:0;opacity:.22;background-image:linear-gradient(var(--line) 1px,transparent 1px),linear-gradient(90deg,var(--line) 1px,transparent 1px);background-size:56px 56px;mask-image:linear-gradient(to bottom,#000 30%,transparent 90%);pointer-events:none}.report-hero>*{position:relative}.eyebrow{margin:0 0 30px;color:var(--acid);font:600 11px "IBM Plex Mono",monospace;letter-spacing:.08em}.report-hero h1{max-width:1200px;margin:0;font:400 clamp(54px,6vw,94px)/.92 "Archivo Black",sans-serif;letter-spacing:-.065em}.report-hero h1 span{color:var(--acid)}.sub{max-width:760px;margin:34px 0 0;color:#c3cbd7;font-size:clamp(18px,2vw,26px)}.hero-actions{display:flex;flex-wrap:wrap;gap:12px;margin-top:32px}.hero-actions a{border:1px solid var(--line);padding:12px 16px;font:500 11px "IBM Plex Mono",monospace}.hero-actions a:first-child{background:var(--acid);border-color:var(--acid);color:var(--ink)}
main>.note{margin:28px 0 0;border-left:3px solid var(--acid);padding:12px 18px;color:#c3cbd7}.panel{min-width:0;margin:22px 0;padding:clamp(20px,3vw,38px);background:var(--paper);color:var(--ink);border:1px solid #777f89}.panel h2{margin:0 0 18px;font:600 clamp(28px,3vw,44px)/1.02 "Archivo",Arial,sans-serif;letter-spacing:-.06em;text-transform:uppercase}.panel h3{margin:30px 0 8px;font:600 20px "Archivo",Arial,sans-serif}.panel p{max-width:82ch}.panel p:last-child{margin-bottom:0}.panel a:not(.question-link){text-decoration:underline}.twocol{display:grid;grid-template-columns:minmax(0,.9fr) minmax(0,1.1fr);gap:18px}.twocol>.panel{margin-bottom:0}.chart{overflow:hidden}.chart svg{width:100%;height:auto;max-height:750px}.scroll{overflow:auto}table{width:100%;border-collapse:collapse}th,td{text-align:left;vertical-align:top;padding:12px;border-bottom:1px solid #c7cac7}th{background:var(--ink);color:var(--paper);font:500 11px/1.4 "IBM Plex Mono",monospace;letter-spacing:.03em}td{font-size:14px}td.answer{min-width:115px;font-weight:700}.correct{color:var(--green)}.incorrect{color:var(--red)}.small{display:block;font-size:12px;font-weight:400}.meta{color:#576474;font:500 11px/1.5 "IBM Plex Mono",monospace}.note{border-left:3px solid #7d8795;padding-left:14px}.legend{font-weight:700}.tools{display:flex;gap:10px;flex-wrap:wrap;align-items:center;margin:18px 0}input,select,button{min-height:42px;padding:8px 10px;border:1px solid #7d8795;border-radius:0;background:#fff;color:var(--ink)}input{flex:1;min-width:200px}button{cursor:pointer;background:var(--acid);border-color:var(--ink);font-weight:700}.tools :focus-visible,a:focus-visible{outline:3px solid #2766b0;outline-offset:3px}#count{font:500 12px "IBM Plex Mono",monospace;color:#465464}#questionTable{min-width:860px}#questionTable th{position:sticky;top:0;z-index:2}#questionTable td:first-child{width:50%;min-width:360px}#questionTable td:first-child a{display:block;margin-top:8px;color:#2766b0}.site-footer{display:flex;justify-content:space-between;gap:16px;padding:22px clamp(18px,3vw,46px);border-top:1px solid var(--line);color:var(--muted);font:500 11px "IBM Plex Mono",monospace}.site-footer a{color:var(--acid)}main>.meta{padding:20px 0;color:var(--muted)}main>.meta a{color:var(--acid)}
@media(max-width:900px){.twocol{grid-template-columns:1fr}.report-hero h1{font-size:clamp(42px,9vw,80px)}}
@media(max-width:600px){.site-header{grid-template-columns:1fr 1fr}.header-label{display:none}.report-hero h1{font-size:clamp(38px,11vw,56px);overflow-wrap:anywhere}.panel{padding:16px}.site-footer{flex-direction:column}}
@media(prefers-reduced-motion:reduce){html{scroll-behavior:auto}}
@media print{body{background:#fff;color:#000}.site-header,.hero-actions,.tools,.site-footer{display:none}.report-hero{padding:20px 0}.report-hero h1,.report-hero h1 span{color:#000}.panel{border:0;break-inside:avoid}.scroll{overflow:visible}#questionTable th{position:static}tr{break-inside:avoid}.correct{color:var(--green)!important}.incorrect{color:var(--red)!important}}

/* Launch context and original social posts. */
.context-section{padding:clamp(38px,5vw,72px) 0 42px;border-bottom:1px solid var(--line)}
.context-kicker,.launch-label,.chart-index,.chart-badge,.insight-kicker{font:600 11px/1.4 "IBM Plex Mono",monospace;letter-spacing:.1em;text-transform:uppercase}
.context-kicker,.launch-label,.chart-index{color:var(--acid)}
.context-section h2{max-width:1050px;margin:15px 0 24px;font:600 clamp(34px,5.5vw,76px)/.95 "Archivo",Arial,sans-serif;letter-spacing:-.065em}
.context-section>p:not(.context-kicker){max-width:860px;color:#d4dae3;font-size:clamp(17px,1.7vw,22px);line-height:1.55}
.context-section a{text-decoration:underline;text-decoration-color:var(--acid);text-underline-offset:3px}
.context-section a:hover,.context-section a:focus-visible{color:var(--acid)}
.launch-posts{display:grid;grid-template-columns:repeat(2,minmax(0,1fr));gap:16px;margin:32px 0 18px}
.launch-post{min-width:0;min-height:188px;padding:22px;border:1px solid #374250;background:#131b27}
.launch-post .launch-summary{max-width:360px;margin:20px 0 14px;color:var(--paper);font:600 clamp(18px,2vw,24px)/1.25 "Archivo",Arial,sans-serif;letter-spacing:-.025em}
.launch-post blockquote{margin:0;font:500 12px/1.5 "IBM Plex Mono",monospace}
.launch-post iframe{max-width:100%!important}
.context-section .usage-note{max-width:950px;margin:0;color:var(--muted)!important;font:500 12px/1.6 "IBM Plex Mono",monospace!important}
.gjopen-context{display:grid;grid-template-columns:180px minmax(0,1fr);gap:20px;align-items:start;margin-top:36px;padding:26px;background:var(--acid);color:var(--ink)}
.gjopen-context .context-kicker{color:var(--ink)}
.gjopen-context p{max-width:850px;margin:0;font-size:clamp(17px,1.5vw,20px);line-height:1.45}
.gjopen-context a{text-decoration-color:var(--ink)}
.gjopen-context a:hover,.gjopen-context a:focus-visible{color:var(--ink);text-decoration-thickness:2px}

/* Site-native interactive Brier chart. */
.panel.chart{background:#0e141e;color:var(--paper);border-color:#384252}
.chart--dark{margin-top:22px;padding:18px;background:#0e141e}
.chart--dark svg text,.panel.chart svg text{fill:var(--paper)}
.brier-overall{display:flex;flex-direction:column;justify-content:center}
.brier-chart-head{display:flex;justify-content:space-between;align-items:center;gap:12px}
.chart-badge{padding:7px 9px;background:var(--acid);color:var(--ink)}
.brier-overall h2{margin:23px 0 4px;color:var(--paper);font-size:clamp(27px,3.4vw,46px)}
.brier-overall .chart-intro{margin:0 0 22px;color:#b9c4d1;font-size:15px}
.brier-rows{display:grid;gap:8px}
button.brier-row{--active-bg:var(--acid);--bar-color:var(--acid);display:grid;grid-template-columns:145px minmax(0,1fr) 74px;gap:16px;align-items:center;width:100%;min-height:70px;padding:11px 12px;border:1px solid #3b4654;background:#151e2b;color:var(--paper);text-align:left;cursor:pointer;transition:background .18s,color .18s,border-color .18s}
button.brier-row--jev{--active-bg:var(--cyan);--bar-color:var(--cyan)}
button.brier-row--chance{--active-bg:#c8d0d9;--bar-color:#a3aebc}
button.brier-row--no{--active-bg:#abb6c3;--bar-color:#8793a2}
button.brier-row:hover,button.brier-row.is-active{background:var(--active-bg);border-color:var(--active-bg);color:var(--ink)}
button.brier-row:focus-visible{outline:3px solid var(--acid);outline-offset:3px}
.brier-name{font-weight:700;font-size:16px;line-height:1.1}
.brier-name small{display:block;margin-top:5px;font:500 10px "IBM Plex Mono",monospace;letter-spacing:.03em;text-transform:uppercase;opacity:.75}
.brier-track{display:block;height:19px;background:repeating-linear-gradient(to right,#263241 0,#263241 calc(33.333% - 1px),#536070 calc(33.333% - 1px),#536070 33.333%);overflow:hidden}
.brier-fill{display:block;width:var(--bar-width);height:100%;background:var(--bar-color);transform-origin:left center}
.brier-row--chance .brier-fill,.brier-row--no .brier-fill{background:repeating-linear-gradient(135deg,var(--bar-color) 0,var(--bar-color) 7px,#5e6d7e 7px,#5e6d7e 11px)}
button.brier-row:hover .brier-track,button.brier-row.is-active .brier-track{background:#65727b}
button.brier-row:hover .brier-fill,button.brier-row.is-active .brier-fill{background:var(--ink)}
.brier-row strong{font:600 17px "IBM Plex Mono",monospace;text-align:right}
.brier-scale{display:flex;justify-content:space-between;margin:10px 86px 0 174px;color:#a6b2c1;font:500 11px "IBM Plex Mono",monospace}
.brier-insight{min-height:118px;margin-top:21px;padding:20px;border-left:4px solid var(--acid);background:#1a2634}
.insight-kicker{color:var(--acid)}
.brier-insight p{margin:9px 0 0;color:var(--paper);font-size:16px;line-height:1.5}
.brier-overall .chart-foot{margin:16px 0 0;color:#a6b2c1;font:500 11px/1.5 "IBM Plex Mono",monospace}
.brier-overall.is-entered .brier-fill{animation:bar-grow .75s cubic-bezier(.18,.8,.24,1) both;animation-delay:var(--bar-delay)}
@keyframes bar-grow{from{transform:scaleX(0)}to{transform:scaleX(1)}}
@media(max-width:760px){.launch-posts{grid-template-columns:1fr}.gjopen-context{grid-template-columns:1fr}.brier-scale{margin-left:0;margin-right:0}}
@media(max-width:600px){button.brier-row{grid-template-columns:1fr 62px;gap:8px}.brier-name{grid-column:1}.brier-track{grid-column:1}.brier-row strong{grid-column:2;grid-row:1/3}.brier-scale{font-size:10px}.launch-post{min-height:125px}}
@media(prefers-reduced-motion:reduce){button.brier-row{transition:none}.brier-overall.is-entered .brier-fill{animation:none}}
@media print{.context-section,.panel.chart{background:#fff;color:#000}.context-section p,.context-section>p:not(.context-kicker),.brier-overall .chart-intro,.brier-overall .chart-foot,.brier-insight p{color:#000}.launch-post,.brier-insight{background:#fff;color:#000}.brier-overall h2{color:#000}.brier-overall.is-entered .brier-fill{animation:none}}

/* Keep the research report at a comfortable reading measure. */
main{max-width:1120px}
.context-section>p:not(.context-kicker){max-width:65ch}
.context-section h2{max-width:18ch}
.gjopen-context{grid-template-columns:150px minmax(0,1fr);margin-top:28px}
.gjopen-context p{max-width:60ch}
.launch-posts{margin-top:24px}
main>.note,.panel>p,.brier-overall .chart-intro{max-width:70ch}
.context-section .usage-note{max-width:78ch}
.question-summary{display:flex;align-items:center;justify-content:space-between;flex-wrap:wrap;gap:12px;margin:8px 0 18px}
.question-summary #count{margin:0}
.question-summary a{display:inline-block;padding:10px 14px;background:var(--acid);border:1px solid var(--ink);color:var(--ink);font:600 12px/1.3 "IBM Plex Mono",monospace;text-decoration:none!important}
.question-summary a:hover,.question-summary a:focus-visible{background:var(--ink);color:var(--acid)}
.question-summary a[hidden]{display:none}

/* Interactive calibration and probability distribution. */
.calibration-interactive{padding:clamp(20px,3vw,38px)}
.cal-header{display:flex;align-items:end;justify-content:space-between;flex-wrap:wrap;gap:22px}
.cal-header h2{margin:12px 0 6px;color:var(--paper)}
.cal-header p{max-width:60ch;margin:0;color:#b9c4d1}
.cal-toggles{display:flex;gap:5px}
.cal-toggles button{min-height:38px;padding:7px 11px;border:1px solid #637083;background:transparent;color:var(--paper);font:600 11px "IBM Plex Mono",monospace}
.cal-toggles button[aria-pressed="true"]{background:var(--acid);border-color:var(--acid);color:var(--ink)}
.cal-toggles button:focus-visible,.cal-bin:focus-visible{outline:3px solid var(--acid);outline-offset:2px}
.cal-panels{display:grid;grid-template-columns:1.1fr .9fr;gap:15px;margin-top:25px}
.cal-card{min-width:0;padding:18px;border:1px solid #354354;background:#111b28}
.cal-card h3{margin:0 0 12px;color:var(--paper);font:600 12px "IBM Plex Mono",monospace;letter-spacing:.06em}
.cal-legend{display:flex;gap:14px;margin:-2px 0 8px;color:#c8d2de;font:600 10px "IBM Plex Mono",monospace}
.cal-legend span::before{content:"";display:inline-block;width:9px;height:9px;margin-right:5px;background:var(--acid)}
.cal-legend .cal-legend--d1::before{background:var(--cyan)}
.cal-card p{margin:12px 0 0;color:#b9c4d1;font-size:12px;line-height:1.5}
.cal-plot{display:block;width:100%;height:auto}
.cal-grid{stroke:#344151;stroke-width:1}
.cal-perfect{stroke:#aab7c6;stroke-width:1.5;stroke-dasharray:6 5}
.cal-axis-label{fill:#c3ced9!important;font:13px "IBM Plex Mono",monospace}
.cal-point{stroke:#0e141e;stroke-width:2;cursor:pointer;transition:r .15s,stroke-width .15s}
.cal-point:hover,.cal-point.is-active,.cal-point:focus-visible{r:10;stroke:#fff;stroke-width:3;outline:none}
.cal-bins{display:grid;gap:5px}
button.cal-bin{display:grid;grid-template-columns:56px minmax(0,1fr) 64px;align-items:center;gap:8px;width:100%;min-height:31px;padding:3px 6px;border:1px solid transparent;background:#1b2837;color:var(--paper);text-align:left;font:500 10px "IBM Plex Mono",monospace}
button.cal-bin:hover,button.cal-bin.is-active{border-color:var(--acid);background:#273745}
.cal-bin-bars{display:grid;align-content:center;gap:3px;height:22px}
.cal-bin-bar{display:block;height:7px;min-width:2px;transition:width .25s ease}
.cal-bin-bar--jev{background:var(--acid)}
.cal-bin-bar--d1{background:var(--cyan)}
.cal-bin-count{text-align:right;color:#c5cfdb}
.cal-insight{margin-top:18px;padding:17px;border-left:4px solid var(--acid);background:#1a2634}
.cal-insight p{margin:8px 0 0;color:var(--paper);font-size:15px}
.calibration-interactive .cal-foot{margin:14px 0 0;color:#a8b5c4;font:500 11px/1.5 "IBM Plex Mono",monospace}
@media(max-width:900px){.cal-panels{grid-template-columns:1fr}}
@media(max-width:760px){.gjopen-context{grid-template-columns:1fr}.cal-header h2{font-size:clamp(26px,6vw,42px)}}
@media(max-width:480px){button.cal-bin{grid-template-columns:50px minmax(0,1fr) 53px;gap:5px;font-size:9px}.cal-toggles{flex-wrap:wrap}}
@media(prefers-reduced-motion:reduce){.cal-point,.cal-bin-bar{transition:none}}
@media print{.calibration-interactive{background:#fff;color:#000}.cal-header h2,.cal-card h3,.cal-insight p{color:#000}.cal-card,.cal-insight{background:#fff;color:#000}.cal-header p,.cal-card p,.calibration-interactive .cal-foot{color:#000}.question-summary a{display:none}}